First Alert Weather Day For Wednesday - Heavy rain and isolated storms likely
The First Alert Weather Day is limited to areas north of Hwy 79, from Palestine to Jacksonville to Henderson to Carthage.
Flash Flood Watches in effect for the Northeastern sections of East Texas through noon on Thursday.
A second upper-level disturbance is likely to move over East Texas beginning during the morning hours and will continue into the afternoon hours. A cold front will follow late on Wednesday or very early on Thursday morning. As the disturbance and cold front move through, heavy rainfall and isolated thunderstorms will be possible if not likely. Rainfall average across East Texas is likely to be in the 1.00" to 3.00" range with a few isolated areas getting a bit more and some, especially over southern areas, a bit less. Southern areas may get only .50" to 1" of rainfall.
For Wednesday, The Storm Prediction Center has placed the northern sections of East Texas will be under a Slight Risk for severe weather. The Slight Risk has been moved a bit farther north than was forecast yesterday. In this Slight Risk area, there is a 15% chance for significant severe weather. We will need to remain Weather Alert through at least Wednesday night, if not early on Thursday morning. The chances for storms will diminish with the passage of the cold front.
Greatest risks remain Flash Flooding, strong and gusty thunderstorm winds as well as some pockets of large hail in the strongest storms during the day on Wednesday. The risk of isolated tornadoes remains low, but not out of the question.
More to come.
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