As of 7 a.m. Thursday morning, reconnaissance aircraft reported a closed circulation in the Gulf of Mexico near the Yucatan Peninsula with top winds of 60 miles per hour. This makes the disturbance a tropical storm that will be named Karen.
Right now, Karen looks to have her eyes set on the north central Gulf Coast. All interests along the Gulf Coast should monitor this system very closely. A strong cold front moving into East Texas on Saturday will push Karen off to our east.
Karen will rob a lot of the Gulf moisture needed to produce widespread rainfall across East Texas this weekend, so only isolated to scattered thundershowers are expected here with the frontal passage. However, if you have any plans to head anywhere along the coast, from Louisiana to Florida, please pay close attention, as Karen will probably develop into at least a category one hurricane.