Partly to Mostly Cloudy skies expected for the remainder of the night tonight with isolated thunderstorms expected to begin moving into the NW sections of East Texas around 4 AM.
We are still looking at a line of strong to severe storms to move into East Texas shortly before sunrise tomorrow morning. They should move into the NW sections of East Texas then and for a few hours, progress toward the East and NE before diminishing in intensity during the late morning hours. By noon, there should only be a few isolated thunderstorms in East Texas.
Then, during the late afternoon hours, isolated strong to severe storms are going to begin to form over Central and Southern sections of East Texas. We call these discrete storms. They will develop and be "on their own" so to speak and could be very strong to severe as they develop and move toward the NE. These are the storms that could produce very large hail, isolated tornadoes and very strong winds. We will have to monitor these very closely once they initiate during the afternoon. Most of the storms should be out of East Texas by midnight on Wednesday.
The Storm Prediction Center has placed most of East Texas under an ENHANCED RISK for severe storms on Wednesday which is a bit higher than SLIGHT and just below MODERATE. This basically means that there is a 30% chance for strong to severe storms within 25 miles of any given spot within the ENHANCED Risk area.
Thursday, Friday and Saturday look fairly nice around here with more rain and isolated storms possible Sunday and Monday.