(KLTV) - Counties north of I-20 and along I-30 are included in an ENHANCED (30%) risk of severe weather developing late tonight into tomorrow morning. Remaining counties along and north of I-20 are included in a SLIGHT (15%) risk of severe weather with central counties in East Texas included in a MARGINAL (5%) risk.
The Set Up:
Late tonight a cold front is set up to move through East Texas into the early morning hours tomorrow. The air is fairly unstable for areas north of Interstate 20 and will likely see strong to severe thunderstorms developing along and just ahead of the cold front. Heading farther south into central and Deep East Texas, less energy is available to sustain stronger to severe thunderstorms but everyone in East Texas should still be aware and prepared for stronger storms in their area until the front passes.
By midnight tonight, the cold front will begin to move into East Texas, likely initiating strong to severe thunderstorms along the Red River and then push south into the I-30 corridor. The front and strong/severe storms will move in a south-southeast direction and should be near the I-20 corridor around 2:00 AM. The front will continue to push southward into less favorable conditions for severe weather to be sustained, but all areas south of I-20 should still expect strong storms through at least 8:00 AM. Scattered showers could be possible behind the front until drier, cooler air spills into East Texas later in the morning and conditions will begin to clear later in the afternoon. This will be very disruptive to your morning commute and if there is hail or strong gusty winds in your area as you’re setting up to head out the door the best option would be to wait until the storms pass.
The greatest threats with this severe weather event will be gusty damaging winds that could gust upwards of 60-70+ mph, and large hail up to half dollar/golf ball size. The tornado threat is very low but not at zero and cannot be ruled out. Remember: it doesn’t have to be a tornado to cause damage to yourself or your property. These threats are rated as severe for a reason!! Always stay away from windows during a severe threat.
As this is an overnight event, it would be very wise to make sure you charge your phones before bed and have a severe weather plan should your power go out. Stay safe and weather aware. We will continue to monitor this situation and update you if anything changes.